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Abstract

Purpose: As a result of a sudden spreading of an epidemic novel virus, scientifically named COVID-19, this paper has been done to present a contribution towards fighting this virus in Iraq.


Methodology: This investigation is focusing on constructing an engineering mathematical model based on the Suspected, Infected, and Recovered model (SIR), given by Kermack and McKendrick.


Main Findings: Iraqi people are facing and suffering from this COVID-19. Three governorates occupying the locally highest infection levels, plus the world's highest deaths to infected cases ratio of about 11%, are Baghdad, Sulaimani, and Karbala.


Implications: It is showed that the Reproduction ratio R0)K is positive (greater than 1) in the three nominated zones, which means that the epidemic disease will keep spreading in a broad manner and depending on many specific factors. Many effective recommendations are presented to avoid spreading this novel virus via many techniques.


Novelty: SIR model is used to assess epidemic levels in 3 zones.

Keywords

Corona Virus COVID-19 Communicable Diseases Mathematical Modelling Iraq

Article Details

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

Authors retain the copyright without restrictions for their published content in this journal. IJSRTM is a SHERPA ROMEO Journal. 

Publishing License

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of  Creative Commons License

How to Cite
Hussein, E. K., Gaaz, T. S., Subhi, K. A., Ghouali, S., & Guellil, M. S. (2021). ENGINEERING MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF CORONA VIRUS (COVID-19) TRANSMISSION IN IRAQ. International Journal of Students’ Research in Technology & Management, 9(3), 01-14. https://doi.org/10.18510/ijsrtm.2021.931
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